28 October 2013

NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING - ratheeshthapasya



CHAPTER 2








NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING









v    Basic concepts
v    Circular flow of income
v    Methods of calculating National
          Income
v    Some Macro Economic Identities
v    GDP &Welfare



NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING

National income is the total money value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during an accounting year.  National income estimates helps to understand the economic performance of a country.

Basic Concepts

Closed and Open Economies:
A closed economy is one which has no economic relation with the rest of the world.

Open economy is one which has economic relation with the rest of the world. All modern economies are open economies.

In a closed economy GDP and GNP would be the same.

Final goods and intermediate goods
Final good is an item that is meant for final use and do not pass through any more stages of production or transformation.

Intermediate goods are those goods which are used for producing other commodities. They are used as raw materials or inputs.

Consumption goods and capital goods
Final goods can be classified into consumption goods and capital goods.

Consumption goods are directly used for the consumption. They do not undergo any other production process again. They are also called consumer goods.

Consumer goods can be durable or non durables.  Durable goods are those that last long. Examples car, television, computer etc., Consumer non durable goods extinguish with the consumption

Capital goods
Capital goods are those goods which once produced and do not undergo any transformation, but are used again and again for the production of the other goods. Examples - factories, buildings, roads, machineries etc.
On the basis of their use, a good can be either a consumer good or capital good.

                                      Classification of goods



Depreciation
Depreciation is the loss of value of fixed capital assets due to normal wear tear and expected obsolescence.
All firms keep a separate portion of their revenue to meet depreciation, called depreciation Provision. Depreciation is also termed as consumption of fixed capital

Stocks and Flows
Stock is a variable which can be measured at a particular point of time.

Flow is a variable which can be measured at a given period of time.
Difference between stock and flow
stock
flow
Measured at a particular point of time
Measured at a given period of time
Static concept
Dynamic concept
Has no time limit
Has time limit
E.g. Water in a reservoir, wealth,
Inventory,
money supply,

The amount water flowing into the tank from the tap per minute,
Income,
Changes in the inventory

         
Double Counting
It is the act of counting the value of a commodity more than once in estimating national income.  The value of intermediate goods shall not be included in the calculation of NI, which may lead to double counting.



Gross investment
It is the value of capital goods in the total value of final goods produced in a country in an year.

Net investment
It is the addition to the existing capital stock in a country.
Net investment = Gross investment – Depreciation

Inventory
It is the stock of semi-finished goods, unsold finished goods and unused raw materials which a firm carries from one year to the next year.

Inventory is a stock variable.  Inventory during an year is a flow variable.
If the value of the inventory at the end of the year is higher than the value at the beginning of the year, it means inventory has increased.

Change in the inventory = production of the firm during the year – sale during the year.

Inventories are treated as investment because inventories are unsold stock.

Change inventory can be planned or unplanned. Anticipating changes in the demand, firms make planned accumulation or decumulation of inventory.   The unexpected fall in demand results in accumulation of unplanned inventories.



Circular flow of income
It is the pictorial representation of interrelationships and interdependence between different sectors of the economy.

It shows exchange of factors of production or goods and services or income between different sectors of the economy.

Circular flow of income in a two sector model
Circular flow of income in a two sector model is based on the following assumptions,

1.   There are only two sectors – households and firms
2.   Households supply factor services to the firms.
3.   Firms hire factor services from household sector.
4.   Households spend their entire income on consumption – there is no saving
5.   Firms sell their entire products to the households.
6.   There is no government sector.
7.   Economy is a closed one – there is no foreign trade

The two sector economy consist of
1.   Factor market – for factors of production
2.   Product market – for goods and services

There are two types of flows
1.   Real flow – flow of goods and services and factors of production.
2.   Money flow – monetary payment for the factor services and goods and services

The following figure explains the circular flow of income and expenditure in a two sector model -

 


The lower part of the diagram shows the factor market in which households sell their factor services and receive incomes.

          The upper part of the diagram represents product market in which households buy goods and services produced by the firms.

From the diagram it can be seen that,
Total income = total production = total expenditure.

The value of the flow of the product in an economy at point A, B and C in an year can be calculated.  At point A we measure the value of the product through Expenditure method, at point B we measure the value of flow by Product method.  At C we can calculate total factor payments, it is income method.  Each of these methods will give the same value of GDP.  Therefore there are three methods to calculate national income.

1.   Product method or value added method
2.   Expenditure method
3.   Income method

Methods of measuring National Income
National Income estimates are necessary to assess the performance of the economy and for the formulation of appropriate economic policies.
There are three main methods for measuring the national income.
1.   Product method
2.   Expenditure method
3.   Income method

1.   Product method
Under this method GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is measured by adding the money value of all final goods and services produced within the domestic territory of a country during a year.

According to the product method, GDP is the sum of the Gross Value Added by the entire production units in the economy.

Suppose there are N production units in the economy. GDP is the sum total of the gross value added of all firms in the economy.

GDP = GVA1+GVA2+ …………. + GVAN
                Where GVA means Gross Value Added
Therefore GDP is    GVAi

Here GDP is calculated on the basis of market price.

Gross value of output of firm i = quantity of output produced by the firm i× market price.
If the Depreciation cost of the firm is Di
NVAi = GVAi – Di
GVAi = NVAi + Di
Therefore GDP = i  + i 

2.   Expenditure method
Under the expenditure method GDP is calculated from the demand side of the products.  Here GDP is calculated by adding the final expenditures incurred in the economy.  Final expenditure includes.
1.   Consumption expenditure.
2.   Final investment expenditure
3.   Final government expenditure
4.   Export expenditure

All the final expenditures are identical to revenues denoted by RV (Revenue Value)
          RVi  = Ci+ Ii+ Gi+ Xi

If there are N firms in the economy then,
i  = i +i  +  i   + i

In an open economy we have to consider both domestics and foreign expenditures.  So expenditure on final goods and services in an economy consists of

1.   Private final consumption expenditure (C)
2.   Final investment expenditure (G)
3.   Government expenditure on final goods (G)
4.   Net exports (X – M)

Therefore the GDP = C+I+G+X-M

GDP is the sum total of all final expenditure received y all the firms in the domestic economy that is the total value of the four components of final expenditure gives us the value of GDP.

3.   Income method
Under this method, GDP is calculated by adding up all the incomes received by all the factors of production.  This means that the national income is the sum total of all factor incomes – rent, wage, interest and profit.

Let there be N numbers of households in the economy,
Wi be the wages and salaries received by ith  households
Pi be the gross profit received by ith  households
Ini be the interest received by ith  households
Ri  be the rent received by ith  households,
     Then,

GDPMP = i   +  i  +   i + i

It means GDP = W + P + In + R



Reconciliation of the three methods
GDP can be calculated by using three methods – Product method, expenditure method and income method. Each of these methods will give same value of GDP.

Expenditure Method                Income Method     Product Method
C



    =
P



    =

 
I
In
G
R
X-M
W




Budget Deficit and Trade Deficit
          Households spend their income for consumption or for saving or to pay taxes.
          GDP = C+S+T

According to the expenditure method
                    GDP = C+I+G+X-M
Therefore C+S+T = C+I+G+X-M
          Solving this equation, we will get
                    M-X = (I-S) + (G-T)

          M-X shows difference between imports and exports.  The excess of imports over the exports is referred to as trade deficit.

          G-T shows the difference between government expenditure and tax revenue.  The excess of government expenditure over its revenue is referred to as budget deficit.

          When there is not government and foreign trade X=0, M=0 and T=0, then
                    I - S = 0
                    I = S
This means that aggregate saving is equal to aggregate expenditure.
           

Some Macro Economic Identities

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
          The total money value of all final goods and services produced within the domestic territory of a country during an year.

It can be expressed on the basis of market price or at factor cost.
          GDPMP = GDPFC + Net Indirect Tax
          GDPFC =   GDPMP - Net Indirect Tax

                             Net Indirect Tax = Indirect Tax – Subsidies
                             GDPMP = Depreciation + Domestic Factor Income + NIT

Gross National Product (GNP)
          It is the total money value of all final goods and services produced in a country during an year.
GNP includes and GDP and Net Factor Income from Abroad.
          GNP = GDP + Net Factor Income from Abroad.

          Net factor income is the difference between factor income received by the residents of the country from abroad and the factor income paid to the non-residents in the domestic territory.
          GNPMP  = GNPFC  + NIT
GNPFC = GNPMP  - NIT

Net National Product (NNP)
          It is the total money value of goods and services produced by a country during an year less depreciation.

          NNPMP = GNPMP - Depreciation
          NNPFC = GNPFC - Depreciation
          NNPMP = NNPFC + NIT
          NNPFC = NNPMP – NIT
          NNPFC = GDPMP – Depreciation + Net Factor Income from abroad – NIT

Personal Income (PI)
          It is the income received actually by the households of a country from national income.

PI = NNPFC – Undistributed Profits – Net Interest Payments – Corporate Tax + Transfer payments to the households.

Net interest payments = interest paid by the households – interest received by the households.
         
Transfer payments include pension, scholarship, pension etc. received by the households.

Personal Disposable Income (PDI)
          PDI is the part of personal income which is actually available to the individuals and households for consumption.

          PDI = PI – Personal tax and non tax payments.
         
Personal tax payments include direct taxes. Non tax payments include fines, penalties etc.

Per Capita Income
          It is the income per head of the population.
          Per Capita Income =

GDP at current price
          If GDP is measured on the basis of current market prices, it is known as GDP at current price or nominal GDP.   GDP at current price doesn’t show real growth as it may increase due to the increase in prices.

GDP at constant prices
          If GDP is calculated on the basis of a base year price, it is known as GDP at constant price or real GDP.  Base year is a selected past year.  Base year price is known as constant price.


GDP Deflator
          GDP Deflator is the ratio between Nominal GDP to Real GDP, expressed as percentages.
GDP Deflator =  
          It gives an idea of how prices have moved from the base year to the current year.

Consumer Price Index
          It shows the changes in retail price of goods consumed by a consumer between two years.
          CPI = × 100

Wholesale Price Index
          It shows the change in wholesale price between two different time periods.
          It is referred to as producer’s price index.


GDP Deflator and CPI
          GDP deflator involves the value of all goods and services.  CPI includes only goods consumed by a normal consumer.  GDP deflator doesn’t include the value of imported goods. CPI includes the value of imported goods consumed by a normal consumer.


GDP and Welfare
          GDP can be considered as a measure of welfare.  Higher GDP growth rate indicates higher welfare.  But this argument is criticized on the following grounds.

1.   Unequal distribution of income
As GDP increase welfare may not increase.  Suppose, the income of a few increases on a large scale and the income of the most of the people decreases, and then also GDP may increase.  But welfare of the people doesn’t increase due to the increase in GDP.

2.    Non – monetary transaction
Many non-monetary transactions like services of housewives, barter transactions are not included in GDP.  Here GDP is underestimated.

3.   GDP and externalities
Externalities are unintended consequences of an action. Externalities can be beneficial or harmful.  Construction of a road in village- comforts in the journey is an example of positive externality.
Functioning of a factory creates pollution and health problems.  It is an example of negative externality.  These externalities are not included in GDP.

4.   Production of harmful goods
In the calculation of GDP, value of harmful products like cigarettes, alcohols etc. are too included. Their production increases, GDP also increases, but it may not increase the welfare.


Note : Equations are not visible in their actual form as they are not compatible with this format 

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